Didier Darcet
1 June 2022

World Crash Ahead

Occasionally, Gavekal-IS publishes a seminal paper when deep financial instabilities light up from our quantitative research. For instance, February 2021’s “US PE Expansion: Game Over!” based on the statistical evidence that US inflation was about to kill equity multiples, as well as July 2021’s “Risk Off” on the statistical evidence that equity value for risk was shrinking. Today’s “World Crash Ahead” is the third of this trilogy.

Five conditions are met for a global market collapse.