Competition Across Countries
Having established the answers to the above, all-important questions, TrackMacro analyses the relative attractiveness of regions and countries in their currency, bond, and equity markets. From a financial standpoint, an economic zone competes with rivals on two fronts:
1. The Monetary Front: It competes to safeguard and attract excess savings in its denominated currency.
2. The Economic Front: It competes to deploy the attracted capital in local risk assets successfully.
In other words, economic zones favour inflows of capital in their own currency, whether it be in cash, bonds or equities. In short, they compete to attract the largest amount of capital. However, to succeed, they must also please investors.
From an investor’s standpoint, the attractiveness of an economic zone resides in the proposed assets’ remunerations.
TrackMacro focuses on the leaders, or simply avoids the losers.
Global Portfolio Grid
Phase III consolidates all the information provided by the previous analysis:
Which regions, currencies, and countries provide the best remuneration on cash deposit, bonds, and equity risk premia?
Do monetary policies favor the main fiat currencies or gold and other fixed income markets?
Within the best-remunerating economic zones, which ones do not show any signs of economic or behavioral stress?
Given the risk constraints defined by the user, what is then the optimized portfolio?
TrackMacro provides automated monthly grids on such portfolios,
whether the user focuses on fixed-income only, equity only, or balanced portfolios.
TrackMacro then updates monthly the performance of the strategy and provides back-tests over decades of historical data